Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Falcon Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Nevada (8-5) | 28 | 25 | +6.0 | 30% | ✘ | 34 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | |
| Air Force (5-7) | 25 | 31 | -6.0 | 70% | 23 | +11.0 | 18% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bulldog Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Toledo (7-6) | 27 | 23 | +15.0 | 11% | ✔ | 14 | +31.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Fresno State (12-2) | 49 | 38 | -15.0 | 89% | 46 | -31.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Dreamstyle Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Liberty (6-6) | 52 | 37 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 44 | -16.0 | 90% | ✔ | |
| New Mexico (3-9) | 43 | 36 | +1.0 | 46% | 28 | +16.0 | 10% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| CEFCU Stadium - Home of the Spartans | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Hawaii (8-6) | 44 | 35 | -4.0 | 64% | ✔ | 46 | -25.0 | 97% | ✔ | |
| San Jose State (1-11) | 41 | 31 | +4.0 | 36% | 21 | +25.0 | 3% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| War Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Boise State (10-3) | 34 | 26 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | 34 | -27.5 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Wyoming (6-6) | 14 | 15 | +11.0 | 18% | 6 | +27.5 | 2% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.